Needless to say we'll be watching this closely in the coming days. The last thing you want after a heat wave would be any chance of thunderstorms. Details vary depending upon model choice, but impacts could be big if it materializes. Long range models continue to show tropical moisture following the heat wave next weekend. We have focused so much on the temperatures and heat risk that we wanted to mention the long term forecast too. We'll have portions of the forecast area that will be experiencing temperatures over 100 degrees for seven days in a row and not just a few days. Another way to think of 2017 is it was a sprint and this event will be more like a marathon. Interior locations on the other hand will be similar with temps over 110. Unlike the 2017 event this event still has onshore flow so 106 at San Francisco seems highly unlikely. We continue to get asked if this will be on par with the 2017 heat event and the answer is yes and no. Further cooling is expected on Friday with more widespread cooling on Saturday. The cool down takes a pause on Thursday with temperatures holding steady. Since it's still several days out will hold off for now. Therefore, far interior locations may need another day of Excessive Heat Warnings for Wednesday. Interior locations will still be well into the 90s and 100s. While technically there will be a cool down Tuesday to Wednesday it will be negligible. That's not to say it will not be above normal at the coast, but not 100 degrees. One thing that hasn't changed is the onshore flow the will keep the coast out of the extreme heat. Regardless of this change the Heat Risks remain the same and so do Excessive Heat Warnings and Heat Advisories. Far interior locations have a shot at exceeding 110 degrees on Monday and Tuesday. On previous discussions it looked like the peak of the heat would be Sunday/Monday, but now it's shifting more to a Monday/Tuesday peak with the hottest interior temperatures. The upper level ridge of high pressure will continue to build westward over the next 24-36 hrs with warming 850mb temps.
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Similar to last night a few spots in the hills will remain n the 80s. Therefore, not a relief expecting as we head into the the peak of the heat event. Pretty interesting to see the spread of temps just in Monterey county alone with barely 70s a the coast and 106 far interior.įor tonight - another mild night both in the valleys and hills. By days end max temps will top out in the 90s to lower 100s interior and 70s and 80s near the coast/bays. Temperatures are running several degrees warmer than yesterday at this time.
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After Friday's brief dip in temperatures the ample sunshine and building ridge of high pressure have led to rebounding this afternoon. Afternoon satellite imagery shows wall to wall sunshine blanketing the entire Bay Area and Central Coast.
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The much talked about heat dome has finally arrived, well at least the leading edge of it today. Meanwhile, the heat will be tempered near the coast, but temperatures will still be well above normal.ĭISCUSSION. Many far inland locations are likely to exceed 100 degrees on Sunday, Monday and Tuesday. Dangerous heat will continue across the interior through early next week.
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Area Discussion for - San Francisco/Monterey Bay Area, CA (on/off) Help NOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definitionĪrea Forecast Discussion National Weather Service San Francisco Bay Area 419 PM PDT Sat Sep 3 2022